Do Electric Cars Depreciate Faster and Lose More Value Than Petrol Cars?

Depreciation is the difference between what you paid for the car and what you get back when sold i.e. the residual value. Assuming 10,000 miles per year, the average new car, EV or petrol, is expected to have a residual value of 40%.

EVs, like any other fuel type (petrol or diesel) vehicle, depreciates. In fact, the moment you drive a new vehicle, internal combustion engine (ICE) or electric, the value has already commenced diminishing. At an average, new cars depreciate anywhere between 30% to 60% over the first three years, with the maximum value lost in the first 12 months.

What Factors Influence Electric Car Depreciation?

As with petrol and diesel cars, a number of factors influence the rate of depreciation or residual value of an electric vehicle. These include:

  • the demand for the car (new and used),
  • the popularity of the automotive brand and the specific model,
  • new model introductions,
  • consumer sentiments,
  • the maintenance of the vehicle
  • and other general trading conditions. 

For example, if we compare the Renault Zoe and the iconic Tesla Model S between 2015 to 2018, the Zoe depreciated significantly more, losing 60% of its value, while the Model S lost only 32%.

A key reason for Tesla maintaining a higher value is because the EV is highly desired by consumers. This is evident from the waiting time for new Tesla cars, with some waiting as long as six months for delivery.

If All Vehicles Depreciate, Do I Need To Bother Understanding EV Depreciation Better?

Yes. To fully understand the cost of owning or running your electric car, you need to go beyond the cost of just charging the EV battery, repair, maintenance and insurance costs. A car may be cheap to drive, which EVs are, but that does not mean it is economical to own, i.e. at the time of selling the car, how big is the reduction in value (depreciation)?

The total costs of the car, to include depreciation, will give you a more accurate understanding of the life cycle costs and help you make the right choice for an EV that best suits your circumstances.

EVs Have Been Around Long Enough To Predict Their Depreciation Rates

It is true that EVs have become more apparent to consumers in the recent past, but electric cars are not a new invention and were first developed 200 years ago. However, the modern electric car is relatively new, with about a million on the roads globally.

Let’s put this in perspective. There are approximately 1 billion passenger cars on the road worldwide. Therefore, it is clear, that the understanding of depreciation values for petrol and diesel cars are far more comprehensive than EVs. In the UK we have seen an increase in demand for EVs since 2017 with some evidence on depreciation rates. However, this is based on limited data. It is based on a small used electric car market and limited data has its limitations! However, the depreciation schedule for EVs are now becoming clearer and in many respects have much in common with petrol cars.

Do Electric Cars Depreciate More Than Petrol Cars?

From the study conducted by InsuretheGap, the range of depreciations for electric and hybrid cars was greater than petrol cars, but the difference was surprisingly not as wide.

The 10 most popular petrol models depreciated between 31% and 52%, compared to 32% to 60% range for electric and hybrid cars.

Will Depreciation Rates For EVs Reduce In The Future?

Yes. All signs point to an improvement in the depreciation rates for electric vehicles. Automotive manufacturers have been introducing fantastic EVs with larger batteries and longer ranges, leading to an increased  uptake of electric cars.  Moreover the increased negative sentiments towards diesel and petrol will further fuel the uptake of EVs.  Electric cars are being well positioned to maintain higher values and lower depreciation.

Read more about the running costs of electric cars compared to ICE vehicles.


Author

Ashvin Suri

Ashvin has been involved with the renewables, energy efficiency and infrastructure sectors since 2006. He is passionate about the transition to a low-carbon economy and electric transportation. Ashvin commenced his career in 1994, working with US investment banks in New York. Post his MBA from the London Business School (1996-1998), he continued to work in investment banking at Flemings (London) and JPMorgan (London). His roles included corporate finance advisory, M&A and capital raising. He has been involved across diverse industry sectors, to include engineering, aerospace, oil & gas, airports and automotive across Asia and Europe. In 2010, he co-founded a solar development platform, for large scale ground and roof solar projects to include the UK, Italy, Germany and France. He has also advised on various renewable energy (wind and solar) utility scale projects working with global institutional investors and independent power producers (IPP’s) in the renewable energy sector. He has also advised in key international markets like India, to include advising the TVS Group, a multi-billion dollar industrial and automotive group in India. Ashvin has also advised Indian Energy, an IPP backed by Guggenheim (a US$ 165 billion fund). He has also advised AMIH, a US$ 2 billion, Singapore based group. Ashvin has also worked in the real estate and infrastructure sector, to including working with the Matrix Group (a US$ 4 billion property group in the UK) to launch one of the first few institutional real estate funds for the Indian real estate market. The fund was successfully launched with significant institutional support from the UK/ European markets. He has also advised on water infrastructure, to include advising a Swedish clean technology company in the water sector. He is also a member of the Forbury Investment Network advisory committee. He has also been involved with a number of early stage ventures.

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